UFC FN143 Betting Tips & Plays

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TJ Dillashaw Breakdown:
With the weigh-ins complete, TJ looks sharp and has proven himself well prepared for the 125lb branch. On the feet he ought to have a significant edge over Cejudo. The length of TJ, combined with his unorthodox style, will let him land serious volume contrary to the limited wrestler. Furthermore leg kicks are a deadly option against the front hefty karate stance. Cejudo will be needing takedowns and important top control if he is to acquire any rounds. Unfortunately for him, TJ has outstanding wrestling himself as well as an arguably more harmful grappling arsenal. His evasiveness should restrict Cejudo’s chances to shoot and on the floor he will be difficult to control for long periods. Overall the path to success looks slender for Cejudo whilst TJ is a proven finisher who conveys good aerobic and much superior volume to win more than 5 rounds. The wager will be TJ Dillashaw to become the dual champ!Rachael Ostovich Breakdown:
Both these fighters have some defects to their game but stylistically this is a winnable battle for the underdog. On the feet Vanzant is unorthodox but probably faster with more quantity. Ostovich has a simpler style but neither fighter is likely to land substantial harm here. The strength and size for Ostovich will probably be a significant advantage on the earth where the two women have a tendency to attract the battle. Vanzant is stubborn but takes risky options and leaves a great deal of openings for competitions. Ostovich can capitalise her exceptional control means she’ll spend a great deal more time on shirt or at dominant positions. Anticipate a back and forth fight where we get good value about the underdog chances.
Bet = Ostovich in 2.35 (+135) odds. Risk 3 Units to win 4.05 Units.
Ariane Lipski Breakdown:
Lipski the”Violence Queen” is making her debut after an impressive run as the KSW champion. Matching up using Calderwood she’s the benefit in most regions. The power and aggression of Lipski’s combos in the pocket will be overpowering for Calderwood who lacks pace and head movement. This battle is most likely to play out on the feet but on the mat it’s Lipski with the better skills. Calderwood is coming off a”lucky” submission win in a fight where she had been having a great deal of trouble. Over her career she has been know to battle with adversity during conflicts and look for a way out. Lipski though looks to be quite durable and struggles with heart. In 24 years old she also will be showing huge improvements between fights.
Bet = Lipski at 1.53 (-188) odds. Risk 5 Components to acquire 2.65 Units.
Alexander Hernandez Breakdown:
Cerrone is coming back down to 155lbs for an unlikely matchup against a rising prospect. Hernandez brings a style that’s proven against Cowboy with his fast start and relentless pressure. Whether this battle goes the distance it’ll be Hernandez pushing the pace, holding Cerrone against the fence and securing takedowns to impress the judges. Cowboys best path to victory is snatching a submission off his back but that is a little chance against a powerful wrestler. The power, athleticism, youth and style of Hernandez will be a great deal for the veteran to manage with only 3 rounds to work with. Cerrone is typically a slow starter and the drop back to 155lb is not likely to assist his durability issues.
Bet = Hernandez in 1.54 (-185) chances. Risk 4 Units to win 2.16 Units.
Dustin Ortiz Breakdown:
That is a rematch struggle in the first back in 2014, which Benavidez won via decision. Today it’s Ortiz that has shown the most improvements in his sport, now riding an impressive win series. Benavidez remains a leading contender but does look like he’s slightly declining in his current appearances. For example an underdog Ortiz includes a couple of paths to success. He’ll be at a disadvantage on the feet in terms of quantity, but packs substantial power. Benavidez was wobbled consistently lately conflicts indicating his durability is evaporating. Furthermore the 34 year old will slow down later in the fight since Ortiz brings a relentless grinding speed. This should be a close fight that looks to be lined too broad.
Bet = Ortiz at 3.05 (+205) odds. Risk 2 Units to acquire 4.1 Units.
Karl Roberson Breakdown:
Roberson is moving up as a late replacement to take on the difficult veteran Glover. On the feet the disparity is broad. Roberson is lightning fast and has strong counters. Glover has slowed substantially to his later years and together with his durability fading his lack of head movement is evident. Cory Anderson (Roberson’s training partner) isn’t famous for his striking yet discovered huge victory himself on the feet in his last fight against Glover. The obvious dilemma for Roberson is that his grappling defence, but working with Anderson he should be improving here as a young prospect. Glover may find some takedowns however if he does not get an early entry it will be tough to keep up with the younger, faster and more athletic Roberson. Furthermore if he can’t get it into the mat his choices look bleak. As an underdog, Roberson looks a good bet.

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