Bleacher Report’s Expert Consensus Week 13 NFL Picks
Can this get any simpler? Based on the way the expert NFL analysts of Bleacher Report are faring against the spread this season, it surely can not get much harder.
Picking at every match, Brad Gagnon Gary Davenport and Brent Sobleski had another run in Week 12, dropping their album that is combined . Individually and as a team, here is the harm through 12 weeks (last week’s records in parentheses):
1. Gary Davenport: 92-78-6 (7-8)
2. Brent Sobleski: 81-89-6 (7-8)
3. Brad Gagnon: 78-92-6 (5-10)
Consensus choices: 83-87-6 (7-8)
With December loomingwe asked longtime sports gambling advisor Dave Tuley when there could be some light at the end of the tunnel for the betting public or if the sportsbooks will continue to gain from bigger samples late in the summer season.
We were given some hope, but not sufficient to get by tuley.
„There was a period less than a dozen years ago where I had a bunch of years in a row where I simply killed it the second half of the year and in December,” he said. „At the time, I felt as though it was just the time of year when the great teams were being overrated and the bad teams were being underrated, and with parity exactly what it had been, the underdogs were performing a whole lot better at that time.”
But Tuley notes that neither the books nor the bettors have struck consistently significant advantages in Decembers. „Just as bettors wish to think that we are getting smarter the more people see these teams play,” he said,”obviously the oddsmakers are seeing the same things we are, and they are adjusting and making it hard also.”
But he believes it’s likely to pick out lines that have been exaggerated by streaks and/or slumps. In particular, he pointed in the 7.5-point distribute in favor of this New Orleans Saints at a road matchup with the NFC East-leading Dallas Cowboys on Thursday night.
With that lineup, oddsmakers are indicating the Saints will be favored by as many as 13 or 14 points if that game were at New Orleans, which will seem high considering the Cowboys are riding a three-game winning series.
„That is [a manifestation of] the way the Saints have been playing,” Tuley said. „For the books to balance their action, they must place it at that number.”
It’s something to remember as we enter the last month of the 2018 season. It may not save your season but any advice helps, if you’ve been following us all year.
Here’s what Davenport, Gagnon and Sobleski are considering heading to the first 16-game slate in two or more months.
Read more: todaysportsnews.org